La Liga 2026-27, Matchweek 11: Tipico improves on Athletic, but William Hill stays ahead

Tipico made the largest Closing correction on Athletic Bilbao in the current ten-match paired window, but William Hill and NordicBet still finished ahead on Closing accuracy. Tipico's Closing Improvement Index (CII) was 0.0138; its larger adjustment did not erase the disadvantage it carried at Opening.

This Matchweek 11 report covers all 10 completed fixtures and 100 paired bookmaker-match observations. The operator comparisons below use the latest published ten-match Athletic window, a wider sample than the matchweek itself. Tipico, William Hill and NordicBet each have 10 paired matches in that comparison.

Tipico started with the highest Opening OA Score of the three operators shown below. Its correction was larger than either rival's, leaving a smaller disadvantage at Closing. William Hill retained the more accurate final forecasts, while NordicBet also finished ahead of Tipico. Choosing the largest correction alone would therefore give a different answer from comparing the final forecasts on this Athletic sample.

The latest ten-match Team Accuracy Index (TAI) puts Tipico's Athletic Closing profile at 0.0015, against -0.0031 for William Hill. Tipico's positive CII sits alongside a less favourable relative Closing profile on this team. Its improvement is real within the paired sample, but it has not caught William Hill on the final accuracy comparison.

Athletic's derby against Real Sociedad offers a concrete matchweek example. Tipico's OA Score moved from 0.1455 at Opening to 0.1334 at Closing. That fixture supports the improvement seen in its wider Athletic sample; it does not establish that every fixture improved or account for the whole rolling correction.

The useful next comparison is how these operators line up on another team. Use the La Liga dashboard below to compare Athletic Bilbao with Real Sociedad and inspect the current operator profiles. Keep the focus on the named team and window: this Athletic result does not establish a league-wide bookmaker hierarchy or a better price to bet.